The Russian invasion of Ukraine in 10 keys

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It is risky to speculate on the scope of the Russian military operation. But it seems evident that by marching on kyiv and not limiting itself to creating a security zone in the east of the country, the Kremlin has decided to put an end to the central government and impose a turnaround favorable to its interests. This purpose will require a military occupation, whether it is admitted to Moscow or not. Military victory will be comparatively much easier than the achievement of medium and long-term political objectives. When the guns fall silent, a much longer and more insidious battle will begin that will inevitably wear down Russia.

Invocations about the “historical” dimension of what is happening is an irresistible temptation for the majority of leaders and editors of the news media. Despite the enormous importance Morocco Email List of the events we are witnessing (Ukrainians suffering), the military phase is nothing more than a consequence of previous political and/or diplomatic decisions. The Russian president acts with the crudeness of someone who believes he is defending his security interests ruthlessly. Some judgments about Putin's mental stability or his moral stature belong more to the realm of propaganda or emotional rhetoric than to an objective analysis of reality. The Russian president acts with the crudeness of someone who believes he is defending his security interests ruthlessly.



International politics is never an exercise in goodness or ethics, but rather a complex system of rules and decisions that are applied based on the interest, resources and capabilities of each party at a given time. The American - and Western, by extension - intelligence services were correct on this occasion about the Russian president's intentions, although they were not exact about the timing of the invasion. A minor deviation, in relation to last week's warnings, but completely accurate with the initial forecast that the Kremlin would wait until the end of the Winter Olympics so as not to inconvenience China.